Nearly a century later, Keynes’s quip sounds more like dire prophecy, as short-term thinking lures us ever deeper into very difficult problems that science can not only observe but foresee. His Massey Lectures inspired Martin Scorsese’s 2011 documentary Surviving Progress. Therefore, all progress depends on the unreasonable man. And with today, when there are nearly eight. The documentary film Surviving Progress has attracted a good deal of media attention and accolades from both the official “left” and the right, if for rather different reasons. But what if progress is actually spiraling us downwards, towards collapse? Another progress trap critique is that mental paralysis can then be swamped by crude passion, 2 the kind that includes racism, intolerance and bigotry. EMMA TILLINGER KOSKOFF, EXECUTIVE PRODUCER NFB Meanwhile, the wealthiest billion — to which most North Americans and Europeans and many Asians now belong — devour an ever-growing share of natural capital. That was a hard sell then, and still would be. The article, the book, and the film are all worth reading/watching. SILVA BASMAJIAN PRODUCER NFB “Weight” is no mere metaphor: of all land mammals and birds alive today, humans and their livestock make up 96 per cent of the biomass; wildlife has dwindled to four per cent. - John Nash 2007, in The Trap (episode 2), a BBC documentary by Adam Curtis. If the resulting chaos unleashes nuclear war, it could bring mass extinction in a heartbeat, with Homo sapiens among the noted dead. MARTIN SCORSESE   MARK ACHBAR   Societies that failed were seduced and undone by what I called a progress trap: a chain of successes which, upon reaching a certain scale, leads to disaster. GERRY FLAHIVE Such extreme disparity has never been seen before. In our age of increasingly rapid technological advances, this discussion is timely. In other words, we’ve added another China or 40 more Canadas to the world. MATHIEU ROY Yet at this writing, the momentum of extraction, consumption, and destruction is still gathering speed, driven by the delusion of endless growth, and the willingness of corporations to set financial profit above life itself. HAROLD CROOKS, INSPIRED BY THE BEST-SELLER FRANÇOIS GIRARD, PRODUCED BY With permission, this is adapted from his new introduction to the book.]. Details about Surviving Progress The film asks a range of thinkers whether the modern world might be headed for a "progress trap." TRAPPED follows the clinic workers, women, and lawyers on the front lines of the battle to keep abortion safe and legal. Instead, downvote, or flag suspect activity, Attempt to guess other commenters’ real-life identities. Ronald Wright, whose best-seller, A Short History Of Progress (which inspired SURVIVING PROGRESS), shows how past civilizations were destroyed by "progress traps" - alluring technologies and belief systems that serve immediate needs, but ransom the future. At the height of the Roman Empire there are thought to have been only 200 million people on Earth. But what if progress is actually spiraling us downwards, towards collapse? Join the 1%! BBC4's excellent documentary exploration of "progress". Such is the measure of our success. A documentary on this campaign, called Pipedream, is in the works. The first trap was hunting, the main way of life for about two million years in Palaeolithic times. Some two thousand years later, in the Mediterranean basin, chronic soil erosion steadily undermined the Classical World: first the Greeks, then the Romans at the height of their power. The warnings of science are growing more urgent and precise, gaining wider attention and sparking grassroots movements such as Extinction Rebellion and the schoolchildren’s strikes inspired by Greta Thunberg. The archaeologists who dig us up will need to wear hazmat suits. Effective reform will take political will at world level. The documentary ‘Progress Trap’ illustrates a concept within the human condition in which what we as a society may perceive as ‘progress’ is actually a deadly feedback loop that acts counter intuitively to our biological and evolutionary advancement. Tyee Poll: If You Were to Start Fresh in a New Career Path, What Might It Be? This bracing documentary considers whether human "progress" stemming from the Industrial Age could be paving the way for civilization's collapse. The overall experiment of civilization kept going, often by moving from an exhausted ecology to one with untapped potential. But what might be reasonable today? These closely linked figures are milestones along our rush towards a trashed and looted planet, stripped of diversity, wildness, and resilience; strewn with waste. EXCERPT: Adam Curtis: And in mathematics, the man who had created the equations that lay behind the simplified model of society was also expressing doubts about the assumptions on which his work had been based. Conservation and environmentalism have had some success, a few species have been pulled back from the brink, a few Green politicians have been elected, a few promising fixes (renewable energy, electric cars, etc.) Surviving Progress 2011 | NR | 3.9 out of 5 Stars. Ronald Wright 20 Sep 2019 | TheTyee.ca . DENISE ROBERT. This film is well worth… It was filmed as a documentary, Surviving Progress directed by Mathieu Roy and co-directed by Harold Crooks with Daniel Louis and Denise Robert as producers for Cinémaginaire and Gerry Flahive as producer for NFB. Ronald Wright, author of "A Short History of Progress," discusses how humanity's advancement may actually be leading to its downfall in this documentary based on his book. Finding the Mother Tree: A Conversation with Suzanne Simard, Do You Like Paywalls? It was in 1991 that the idea for the book "The progress trap" was submitted to McGill-Queens University Press in Montreal, Canada. Are we in a "progress trap"? Farming brought dense human populations and centralized control, the defining ingredients of full-blown civilization for the last five thousand years. The jaws of a trap open slowly and invitingly, then snap closed fast. Surviving Progress . And a few centuries after Rome’s fall, the Classic Maya, one of only two high civilizations to thrive in tropical rainforest (the other being the Khmer), eventually wore out nature’s welcome at the heart of Central America. This has no precedent. What is progress? Mathieu Roy and Harold Crooks’s new documentary Surviving Progress opens with an arresting series of images: a pair of chimpanzees puzzling over the correct placement of two wooden blocks in a white-walled laboratory. The dangers are seldom seen before it’s too late. Measures have been enacted to ensure the integrity of personal information and to protect it from misuse, loss or alteration. Surviving Progress - The Documentary - Official Site Ronald Wright's bestseller A Short History of Progress inspired this cinematic requiem to progress-as-usual. Clearly, things have moved very quickly since the Industrial Revolution took hold around the world. It is common for opportunities to be exploited quickly and for societies to be slow to manage risks.     Ronald Wright, whose best-seller, A Short History Of Progress inspired SURVIVING PROGRESS, shows how past civilizations were destroyed by "progress traps" - alluring technologies and belief systems that serve immediate needs, but ransom the future. & Yet there were still many traps along the way. Back in Classical Greece, Plato suggested that in a just society there should be no more than a 5:1 spread in income between richest and poorest. Where should the balance be struck to help the weakest while still rewarding effort and achievement? As recently as 1970, humans were only half and wildlife more than twice their present numbers. Awareness of our predicament is spreading, if slowly and with mixed results. If you have concerns related to your privacy please contact us at info@thetyee.ca. DANIEL LOUIS Most survivors of that progress trap became farmers — a largely unconscious revolution during which all the staple foods we eat today were developed from wild roots and seeds (yes, all: no new staples have been produced from scratch since prehistoric times). The film asks a range of thinkers whether the modern world might be headed for a "progress trap." Ronald Wright, whose best-seller, A Short History Of Progress inspired SURVIVING PROGRESS, shows how past civilizations were destroyed by "progress traps" - alluring technologies and belief systems that serve … BETSY CARSON This outrunning of population by economic growth has lifted perhaps a billion of the poorest into the outskirts of the working class, mainly in China and India. What is sustainable progress? In the deep past these setbacks were local. A Classic ‘Feel Bad’ Movie About Progress The new documentary “Surviving Progress” takes a cautionary view of modern advancement and … You can sample this documentary at https: ... As they say at the Pentagon, "analysis paralysis". Further to the provision of the Personal Information Protection Act, personal information is kept confidential by TheTyee.ca and will not be sold, traded, released, shared or distributed to any other individuals, organizations or agencies without prior consent or notification. The highest birthrates are in the poorest places, mainly Africa and the Indian subcontinent. The failure of democratic governments to stand up for the greater good over the long run is fuelling disillusionment with democracy itself. Human numbers were still quite small. Others will follow. All information submitted to The Tyee is only available to employees or sub-contractors who are bound by agreement with The Tyee to keep the information private. That was 15 years ago. Topsoil is being lost far faster than nature can replenish it; 30 per cent of arable land has been exhausted since the mid-20th century. There is something badly wrong with an economic regime in which 26 individuals own as much as half the world’s population. Such, in a few words, is the shape of the human pyramid today. Yet those in extreme poverty and hunger still number at least a billion.   Not so far back in history the proportions were the other way round. This primed a short-run recovery, which has in turn revived illusions we can borrow from nature and the future indefinitely — illusions fed by corporate think-tanks, irresponsible politicians, and Panglossian cherrypickers such as Steven Pinker. As I was using the self-checkout machine at the local Ralphs, I had a moment of clarity. By the time the answer is clear, there could be nobody left to know it. E-mail addresses are only used for the purposes of Tyee-related correspondence or comment moderation. John Spacey, November 06, 2016 A progress trap is a new technology that could improve life but that ends up making things worse due to a failure to manage risks.A new technology typically represents both a risk and an opportunity. It … Second, I wondered who actually did work here before the gods of technology developed this machine. In the documentary, Ronald Wright, whose best-seller, A Short History Of Progress inspired SURVIVING PROGRESS, shows how past civilizations were destroyed by "progress traps" - alluring technologies and belief systems that serve immediate needs, but ransom the future. But Here’s an Amazing Statistic, Join Us to Launch JB MacKinnon’s New Book: ‘The Day the World Stops Shopping’, Use sexist, classist, racist or homophobic language, Troll patrol. We are cheating our children, handing them tawdry luxuries and addictive gadgets while we take away what’s left of the wealth, wonder, and possibility of the pristine Earth. ASSOCIATE PRODUCER are being developed. [Editor’s note: Ronald Wright’s 2004 Massey Lectures, A Short History of Progress, are being re-issued in a special 15th anniversary edition this month by Anansi. Ronald Wright’s 10 books include Time Among the Maya, Stolen Continents, and the award-winning dystopia A Scientific Romance.His Massey Lectures inspired Martin Scorsese’s 2011 documentary Surviving Progress.See also “‘Which Will Win, Wisdom or Greed?’ For the author, “progress trap” means trapped by “civilization’s” very … The documentary Surviving Progress, A Mind-Expanding, Ronald Wright, proposes the idea of the progress trap, that is, a pattern of innovation that ultimately ends in a trap that puts humanity in jeopardy, as we are too successful for our own good. Be a hero. RONALD WRIGHT, EXECUTIVE PRODUCERS Whether we are triggering an extinction as severe as that which killed the dinosaurs, when three-quarters of all species were wiped out, is still to be seen. Ronald Wright’s 10 books include Time Among the Maya, Stolen Continents, and the award-winning dystopia A Scientific Romance. The wealth already wrenched from nature might just be enough to buy us a lasting future if it were shared, managed, and ploughed into solutions. The dwindling of birdlife in their gardens and bugs on their windshields backs up the scientists’ alarm that falling insect numbers threaten a “catastrophic collapse” of natural systems. This May 19 webinar will celebrate an important new book and the wisdom of the forest. Predicted consequences of global warming — blighted coral reefs, melting glaciers, spreading deserts, and extreme weather — are already upon us. Inequality is the main driver behind rising population and consumption. Expect provocative conversation about the future of consumerism, and our planet, at this live event. Even if fossil energy were replaced at once by clean sources, our other problems — overpopulation, overconsumption, erosion, deforestation, and accumulating waste — would still persist. Surviving Progress is a very convincing thesis documentary that leads us to examine the notion that progress is, indeed, progress — that is to say helpful to humankind. The documentary examines and forcefully challenges some of those faulty premises, such as Thomas Malthus’ prediction about the increasing human population overwhelming food production, the 1973 MIT model predicting the end of human civilization, and Ronald Wright’s 2004 “progress trap,” where progress inevitably leads to disaster. Fair enough in the 1920s, when there was only one person on Earth for every four today and the future seemed to have room for endless outcomes, good or bad. Fewer than 1 out of 100 Tyee readers enable everyone else to read us. OF In 1923 the great economist John Maynard Keynes famously answered, “In the long run we are all dead.” By that he meant, let’s deal with the problems we see now and leave the unforeseeable to those who come later. This prevents further progress and sometimes leads to societal collapse. When subscribing to a newsletter edition you'll also get early notice on Tyee events, news, promotions, partner messages and special initiatives. But what about the long run? The growth rate has fallen slightly, but consumption of resources — from fossil fuel to water, from rare earths to good earth — has risen twice as steeply, roughly doubling our impact on nature. The lesson of fallen societies is that civilization is a vulnerable organism, especially when it seems almighty. and kill 200 at once, had fallen into a progress trap; they had made too much progress. The commanding heights of this group, the billionaires’ club, has more than 2,200 members with a combined known worth nearing $10 trillion; this super-elite not only consumes at a rate never seen before but also deploys its wealth to influence government policy, media content, and key elections. CINÉMAGINAIRE AND BIG PICTURE MEDIA CORPORATION, IN COPRODUCTION WITH THE NATIONAL FILM BOARD OF CANADA PRESENT, A FILM BY Film about the risks we pose to our own survival in the name of progress, connecting financial collapse, growing inequality and global oligarchy with the … They lived high for a while, then starved. These are issues that impact our daily lives and yet our endless quest for progress leaves us so little time to explore why we are working so very hard to progress. His Massey Lectures inspired Martin Scorsese’s 2011 documentary Surviving Progress. At the other end of the seesaw, obscene wealth — the kind which owns mansions around the world and gigantic yachts with helicopter pads — has a colossal footprint, while its undue influence amounts to a dark tyranny. Documentary. The article features an interesting interview with Ronald Wright, author of A Short History of Progress, which was recently made into a documentary by Martin Scorsese called Surviving Progress (below). We have financed this monstrous debt by colonizing both past and future, drawing energy, chemical fertilizer, and pesticides from the planet’s fossil carbon, and throwing the consequences onto coming generations of our species and all others. People are beginning to see the world dying before their eyes. various shots 01:08:16 Ronald Wright Our physical bodies, and our physical brains, as far as we can tell, have changed very little in the past 50,000 years. In A Short History of Progress, I suggested that worldwide civilization was our greatest experiment; and I asked whether this might also prove to be the greatest progress trap. Neither Do We. Compare that with the height of the British Empire a century ago, when there were two billion. Register now. A progress trap is the condition human societies experience when, in pursuing progress through human ingenuity, they inadvertently introduce problems they do not have the resources or political will to solve, for fear of short-term losses in status, stability or quality of life. This bracing documentary considers whether human "progress" stemming from the Industrial Age could be paving the way for civilization's collapse. And this is a primary question in Surviving Progress, a documentary inspired by Wright's book, ... the "progress trap." We are the world’s top predator, and predators crash suddenly when they outgrow their prey. Ronald Wright, whose best-seller, A Short History Of Progress inspired SURVIVING PROGRESS, shows how past civilizations were destroyed by "progress traps" - alluring technologies and belief systems that serve immediate needs, but ransom the future. Of one thing we can be sure: if we fail to act, nature will do so with the rough justice she has always served on those who are too many and who take too much. As the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says in its October 2018 report, keeping global warming below 1.5 C “is possible within the laws of chemistry and physics” but will require “unprecedented changes” before 2030. Humanity's ascent is often measured by the speed of progress. The film articulately makes the case that modern civilization is in what author Ronald Wright calls a “progress trap,” the instance, essentially, in which development excludes the solution to the problem it creates, which he illustrates with a classic example: woolly mammoth hunters who, after figuring out they could lead a whole herd off a cliff instead of killing the … Given the seriousness of what we face, this is a conversation we must have. Yet the very idea of international cooperation is under attack — just when it is needed most. But the prehistoric men who learned how to chase 200 mammoths off a cliff and kill them all were caught in a progress trap. First, I thought, I don’t work here, so why the hell am I scanning groceries? The 2008 crash triggered by banking fraud was staved off by money-printing and record debt. He was the mathematician John Nash. Humankind will leave a telltale layer in the fossil record composed of everything we produce, from mounds of chicken bones, wet-wipes, tires, mattresses and other household waste, to metals, concrete, plastics, industrial chemicals, and the nuclear residue of power plants and weaponry. What has happened — and not happened — since then to alarm or reassure us? Some of those species have already been bankrupted: they are extinct. Ronald Wright 20 Sep 2019 | TheTyee.ca . As Stone Age people perfected the art of hunting, they began to kill the game more quickly than it could breed. Calculations of humanity’s footprint suggest we have been in “ecological deficit,” taking more than Earth’s biological systems can withstand, for at least 30 years. Ronald Wright’s 10 books include Time Among the Maya, Stolen Continents, and the award-winning dystopia A Scientific Romance.His Massey Lectures inspired Martin Scorsese’s 2011 documentary Surviving Progress.See also “‘Which Will Win, Wisdom or Greed?’ For the author, “progress trap” means trapped by … ~George Bernard Shaw (note: the term ‘progress trap’ is a copyright of Daniel B. O’Leary) Progress trap is when human ingenuity, in pursuing progress, introduces a … Being only the third submission to a publishing house the author was naturally delighted when the Editor-in-chief wrote back that "your work does in fact provide a powerful analysis of our situation and what may be a fruitful way of resolving the … One of the sad ironies of our time is that we have become very good at studying nature just as it begins to sicken and die under our weight. In what is now Iraq, the Sumerian civilization (one of the world’s first) withered and died as the irrigation systems it invented turned the fields into salty desert. Progress Trap: The reasonable man adapts himself to the world: the unreasonable one persists in trying to adapt the world to himself. Synopsis: Humanity's ascent is often measured by the speed of progress. A SHORT HISTORY OF PROGRESS First, our numbers have risen by 1.4 billion, nearly a hundred million per year. 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